Project Title: PROSPECTS (Improving prospects for forcibly displaced persons and host communities)
Assignment location: Kenya: Garissa and Turkana Counties
Assignment duration: 45 days: October 2024 – January 2025
The forced displacement crisis has increased in scale and complexity in recent years. According to UNHCR there were about 117.3 million forcibly displaced persons (FDP) at the end of 2023 with about 44.5 million refugees and asylum-seekers. Overall men and women were almost equally represented in the population of concern. Forced displacement is increasingly protracted and disproportionally affects children: 50% of refugees worldwide are children. The overwhelming majority (76%) of refugees are hosted in developing countries with limited resources and capacities to respond to the situations – with substantive socioeconomic impacts on both FDPs and host communities (HC).
The partnership for improving prospects for forcibly displaced persons and host communities (PROSPECTS) is a unique eight-year partnership (2019–2027, Phase 1 ending in Dec. 2024), spearheaded by the Government of the Netherlands, that brings together the International Finance Corporation (IFC), the International Labour Organization (ILO), the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR), the UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF) and the World Bank (WB). Together, these partner organisations are developing a joint and fully integrated approach to respond to the forced displacement situation in the Middle East, North Africa and in the Greater Horn of Africa.
PROSPECTS aims to facilitate transitioning from humanitarian to development-centred assistance, by addressing long-term challenges and needs of FDPs and HCs and accelerating sustainable solutions to build a more inclusive, cohesive and productive society. This is to be done by aligning and leveraging partners’ experience and expertise to develop a new paradigm in responding to forced displacement crises. Through their involvement, development actors can help transform the way governments and other stakeholders, including the private sector, respond to forced displacement crises for both FDPs and HCs through joint and concerted action in three thematic focus areas, referred to as pillars:
The work to achieve results under the four pillars is delivered by country teams in eight target countries namely Egypt, Ethiopia, Iraq, Jordan, Kenya, Lebanon, Sudan, and Uganda.
Within PROSPECTS, the ILO plays a key role in the promotion of decent work and focuses on strengthening local economic development and improving employability by equipping refugees and host communities with relevant skills to enter local labour markets and access enterprise development opportunities. The ILO brings significant expertise and experience in supporting enabling environments to underpin inclusive socio-economic growth and decent work, strengthen labour markets and promote access to improved working conditions and fundamental rights at work, including through the involvement of its tripartite national constituents.
In Kenya, PROSPECTS is implemented in Garissa and Turkana Counties (dominant refugee host counties) and works closely with the respective county governments. At the national level, PROSPECTS works with line government departments and agencies and the private sector. According to the data from UNHCR, by end of August 2024, Kenya was hosting 782,468[1] refugees and asylum seekers with 385,328 (49.3%) living in Dadaab (Garissa County) and 288,206 (37.3%) living in Kakuma refugee camp and the Kalobeyei settlement (Turkana County). The rest of the refugees and asylum seekers (13.4.5%) were living in various urban centres (mainly Nairobi). The two refugee host counties are largely arid and the inhabitants, the majority of whom are pastoralists, are regularly affected by recurrent droughts. PROSPECTS in Kenya seeks to build resilience through protection, learning and earning initiatives anchored on sustainable socio-economic transformation and transition to jobs. To date, the project has directly reached over 10,000 refugees and host community members through various interventions.
PROSPECTS in Kenya is designing an endline study to assess the impacts the program has had on its project participants during the first phase (2019 – 2024). The endline study will focus on project participants who have benefited from any of the project interventions since its inception in Kenya. The consultant will work closely with the program team to design a detailed assessment of the outcome-level indicators that can be assessed using this approach.
Specifically, the endline study will include an endline survey to capture changes under the following outcomes:
The endline survey will be accompanied by Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) with PROSPECTS project participants, based on purposive sampling for the different categories (e.g., type of intervention received, gender, host community versus FDPs, etc.). The consultant is expected to propose the appropriate number of FGDs relevant for this assignment as per the description in the ToR. The categories to be used may include:
FGDs should be organised around gender and national status (refugees/host communities).
A third tool will be the use of an institutional online survey among the national partners to understand the extent of integration of ILO’s tools and approaches regarding specific development sectors. The list of national partners will be made available by the ILO PROSPECTS Kenya team, but will revolve around 20 partners, who are all expected to complete the survey.
The last data collection tool is a key informant interview guide with selected national partners or other key stakeholders to understand the achievements of PROSPECTS at a national level and better understand the progress and gaps to be filled for sustained results.
These lines of inquiry shall provide valuable information about the changes to those that have been exposed to the project interventions. Specific objectives of the study include:
Overall, the consultant will be responsible for designing the tools in close collaboration with the ILO team, recruiting the research team, collecting the data in the field and subsequently analysing the data and writing the study report.
The endline study will adopt a mixed methods approach of quantitative (endline survey and institutional online survey) and qualitative data collection (FGDs and KIIs). The consultant shall conduct a targeted desk review of relevant project-related documentation to understand the project design, reported achievements and challenges.
The consultant will then develop an inception report, including, but not limited to, the sample informed by the project participants in each pillar, the draft data collection tools, the enumerator/facilitator training plan, and the field work plan.
Estimated sample sizes:
The consultant shall work closely with the ILO in developing sampling techniques for the project participants to be included in the endline survey. The ILO has estimated the following samples but the final sample sizes for the study shall be agreed upon during the inception phase.
The consultant will also be required to digitize the endline survey tool for electronic data collection. The consultant shall use appropriate mobile data collection applications to design and conduct phone interviews with the selected project participants. The consultant will be required to put in place data quality measures to ensure the completeness, accuracy, and reliability of the data collected. The survey instrument shall be tested (piloted) before the actual data collection to identify any ambiguities and ensure the flow and skip patterns are working well. Various quality control measures should also be put into place for the collection of qualitative data. The qualitative data is expected to be collected in-person, although some KIIs may also be done virtually (over the phone or agreed online meeting platforms).
The consultant shall submit the following key deliverables as per the timelines to be agreed upon at the inception phase:
The consultant will execute the assignment under the overall supervision of the PROSPECTS Chief Technical Advisor in Kenya. He/she will work directly with the PROSPECTS National M&E officer and with the overall technical guidance of the ILO PROSPECTS Global M&E Officer. The assignment will also be executed in close collaboration with PROSPECTS implementing partners in target areas.
The consultancy is planned to take a maximum of 45 working days between October 2024 and January 2025. The specific deliverables and timeframes are outlined in the table below:
Phase | Deliverable(s) | Key activities | Estimated # of days
1.Inception | Inception report[2]
12 days
2. Data collection | Fieldwork report
16 days
3. Data Analysis and Reporting | Draft report, PPT with key findings, Validation workshop
14 days
4. Finalization | Final report, Cleaned datasets, Refined PPT
3 days
TOTAL: 45 days
The following are the proposed terms of payment, but the final terms shall be negotiated at the contracting stage.
Qualified consulting firms are encouraged to submit a technical and financial proposal detailing the following:
Technical proposal:
Financial proposal:
A detailed budget with a breakdown of the consultants’ professional fees (for one or more consultants) and for reimbursable expenses which include the costs of hiring enumerators, cost of consultants’ travel to the field and daily subsistence during training of enumerators and fieldwork. The consultants will only be expected to travel to the field for the FGDs and KIIs, but the enumerators will conduct the interviews with project participants on phone.
Note: All costs related to the assignment should be outlined in the financial proposal. The ILO will only cater for the venue and conference costs during the enumerator training. The consultant should provide a detailed breakdown of all other costs related to execution of the assignment.
The recruiting team will evaluate the proposals and award the assignment based on technical responsiveness and the principle of value for money ensuring transparency, impartiality, and neutrality.
[1] https://www.unhcr.org/ke/what-we-do/reports-and-publications/kenya-operation-statistics
[2] Refer to the ILO checklist on writing inception reports: https://www.ilo.org/sites/default/files/wcmsp5/groups/public/@ed_mas/@eval/documents/publication/wcms_746817.pdf
Interested organizations / consulting firms should submit their expression of interest to, Email: nboprocurement@ilo.org with subject of the email as “PROSPECTS Phase 1 Endline Study Consultancy”. The EOIs should reach the ILO not later than 25 October 2024.
Tagged as: International Labour Organization, Kenya
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